Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.376156 0.492443 0.619397 0.766260 0.929643 1.104237 1.303411
2025-05-18 0.211558 0.361177 0.544298 0.774521 1.047757 1.354846 1.719930
2025-05-25 0.111381 0.256995 0.456892 0.726542 1.062485 1.453353 1.930490
2025-06-01 0.048599 0.176283 0.379362 0.674716 1.060223 1.522834 2.100358
2025-06-08 0.018919 0.128526 0.333757 0.653311 1.086599 1.619046 2.294830
2025-06-15 0.007047 0.105009 0.318559 0.668971 1.157080 1.766590 2.548603
2025-06-22 0.000618 0.078186 0.290245 0.660883 1.192912 1.868763 2.745750
2025-06-29 NaN 0.053777 0.257962 0.641774 1.210467 1.945538 2.910055
2025-07-06 NaN 0.047774 0.261636 0.677813 1.303217 2.117660 3.191373
2025-07-13 NaN 0.044458 0.270372 0.721606 1.406655 2.303533 3.489866
2025-07-20 NaN 0.040313 0.275769 0.759371 1.501373 2.478117 3.774454
2025-07-27 NaN 0.042682 0.298445 0.826414 1.638011 2.707391 4.127512
2025-08-03 NaN 0.038764 0.305015 0.869337 1.745211 2.904918 4.449608
2025-08-10 NaN 0.029235 0.292501 0.878988 1.805204 3.042191 4.698481
2025-08-17 NaN 0.013664 0.248126 0.827435 1.773040 3.056122 4.790507
2025-08-24 NaN 0.003892 0.205309 0.771932 1.731037 3.054323 4.860557
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000692 0.181600 0.748927 1.735273 3.112293 5.004607
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000126 0.177824 0.765752 1.800423 3.252483 5.253829
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.162875 0.757065 1.824906 3.336801 5.430941
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.143845 0.736530 1.829288 3.392741 5.570859
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.150575 0.775243 1.928606 3.579715 5.880670
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.160763 0.822196 2.041337 3.785400 6.214970
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.168159 0.862614 2.143617 3.976753 6.530845